Tropical Storm Melissa Intensifies While Heads Toward the Island Nation
Cyclone Melissa is projected to become a uncommon highest-level cyclone as it turns towards Jamaica, delivering life-threatening sudden floods and landslides.
The cyclone, which had wind speeds of up to 195 km/h as of 06:00 GMT, is presently veering toward the northwest in the Caribbean region and is projected to make landfall by Tuesday, based on data from meteorological authorities.
Alerts of electricity outages and damage to infrastructure have been announced as Melissa produces up to 76cm of rainfall and coastal flooding as high as thirteen feet above typical tides. "Seek shelter now," locals have been urged.
The cyclone is the 13th cyclone in this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which normally finishes in the eleventh month.
Most Intense Storm Risk
A Category 5 cyclone is the strongest type, with sustained winds of at least 157mph.
While this storm is expected to weaken to a fourth-level cyclone before reaching the island, meteorologists said there was "very little practical difference in the total effects" upon reaching the coast, and that the cyclone will be "just as powerful" when it impacts the nation.
Immediate Preparations
With tropical storm-strength wind and rainfall already expected long before it passes over the island's interior - possibly even the city of Kingston - advisories indicate that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"A multi-day period of harmful winds and torrential rain have begun and will cause devastating and dangerous flash flooding and many mudslides," counseled weather authorities.
Jamaican Prime Minister the statesman said: "I know that there are many Jamaicans who are worried, who are extremely apprehensive, and rightfully so: you should be concerned.
"Yet the most effective method to address nervousness and any nervousness and anxiety is to remain prepared."
Locals are being advised to protect their properties with protective bags and timber panels, and to stock up on necessary supplies.
Broader Impact
Warnings are also active for areas in the neighboring country including the primary urban center, the adjacent nation and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is anticipated to bring similar effects by the middle of next week.
Rock slides already being caused by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Expected Course
Melissa is forecast to pass over Cuba by Wednesday before passing across the Caribbean archipelago and entering the Atlantic.
By the point it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have reduced to a third-level cyclone.
Climate Context
Although it is hard to link particular meteorological occurrences to environmental shifts, experts say it is making meteorological events more prevalent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat produce more moisture in the atmosphere, helping fuel the formation of storms.
Prior to the commencement of this season's Atlantic storm period, weather organizations projected increased storm frequency, referencing warmer seas and possible enhanced seasonal rains around African coastal regions - where tropical systems typically originate.